Cultural Tensions, Civil Disorder, and Civil War: How Does Ethnic and Religious Strife Affect Internal Conflict?

How do cultural tensions (i.e., ethnic and religious) affect various internal conflicts (e.g., civil war to civil disorder) across different regions?

This is a timely topic given a potential ceasefire agreement in Ukraine, the ongoing conflict in the DRC, and the uncertainty surrounding Romania’s upcoming election, to name a few.

A recent published study – using 136 countries from 1990 to 2021 – considers this question and also considers the role of governance in mitigating the effects of cultural tensions on the emergence and escalation of conflict.

What did the authors find?

While there are some regional variations and nuances, cultural tensions are significant determinants of (1) the broad measure of internal conflict, (2) civil wars/coups d’état, and (3) political violence/terrorism.

It was also found that ethnic and religious tensions were less influential in smaller-scale conflicts, such as civil disorders, where government stability is a more important determinant.

All good material: (https://lnkd.in/eQUmyW_5)

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