Geopolitical Risk and a Country’s External Position: What’s the Connection?
This Fall, the IMF – a longstanding client of PRS – presented an overview of its EBA-Lite methodology, which is a key input in external sector assessments for over three-quarters of Fund member countries, representing a broad set of emerging and low-income economies
For the purposes of locating the relevance of geopolitical risk, the EBA-Lite methodology uses a range of our ICRG variables as a proxy for ‘institutional quality.”
Significantly, higher institutional quality tends to lower a sovereign’s current account balance.
External sector assessments are a core mandate of the Fund and are included in each Article IV staff report.
The paper describes the refinements in EBA-Lite 3.0. Have a look:
(https://lnkd.in/eD9FAmA3)
It’s always enjoyable to see our data assist in the process of international lending and reform, especially via the Fund, and the range of countries it assists.
Our data drives….
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